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How Civil Wars Start

Auteurs

Barbara F. Walter

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4,2(4021)Évaluer

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294pages
11 heures de lecture

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A leading political scientist examines the alarming rise in global violent extremism and warns of the increasing risk of a second civil war in the United States. Political violence erupts in towns across southwest Texas, while a far-right militia conspires to kidnap Michigan's governor. An armed mob of Trump supporters storms the U.S. Capitol. Are these isolated events, or the beginning of something larger? Barbara F. Walter, who has studied civil conflict in regions like Iraq and Sri Lanka, is now deeply concerned about her own country. Surprisingly, both autocracies and healthy democracies are generally safe from civil war; it's the nations in between that are most at risk, and the U.S. is increasingly in this precarious position. Over the past two decades, the number of active civil wars globally has nearly doubled. Walter outlines the warning signs of conflict—where wars typically begin, who instigates them, and what triggers their escalation. Drawing on international research and case studies, she identifies key risk factors, including democratic backsliding and the politics of resentment. Today's civil war won't resemble those of the past; it will manifest through sporadic violence and terror, amplified by social media, catching us off guard. In this urgent book, Walter redefines civil war for a new era, offering a framework to confront and prevent the looming danger.