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Peter F. Drucker, a renowned management guru, asserted that “the best way to predict the future is to create it,” emphasizing that managers who study the future can shape it. By anticipating trends, they can prepare for both expected and unexpected events, enabling quicker and more flexible responses than competitors. Futures research, an interdisciplinary and systematic analysis of the future, has evolved into a robust theoretical and practical field. Dr. Heiko A. von der Gracht's dissertation focuses on the scenario technique, a key tool in this discipline. The logistics service industry faces numerous challenges and opportunities, characterized by rapid growth, high complexity, and dynamism. Factors such as intensifying globalization, increased competition, and rising customer demands contribute to a turbulent and uncertain environment. This context necessitates a strong emphasis on futures orientation and innovation in logistics to foster flexibility, creativity, and adaptability. The scenario technique is particularly valuable for decision-making under uncertainty, yet its adoption among logistics service providers remains limited.
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The future of logistics, Heiko von der Gracht
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- Année de publication
- 2008
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