Dieter Nautz Livres

Overnight money market rates are the predominant operational target of monetary policy. As a consequence, central banks have redesigned the implementation of monetary policy to keep the deviations of the overnight rate from the key policy rate small and short-lived. This paper uses fractional integration techniques to explore how the operational framework of four major central banks affects the persistence of overnight rates. Our results suggest that a well-communicated and transparent interest rate target of the central bank is a particularly important condition for a low degree of overnight rate persistence. -- Controllability and Persistence of Interest Rates ; Operational Framework of Central Banks ; Long Memory and Fractional Integration

The instability of standard money demand functions has undermined the role of monetary aggregates for monetary policy analysis in the euro area. This paper uses country-specific monetary aggregates to shed more light on the economics behind the instability of euro area money demand. Our results obtained from panel estimation indicate that the observed instability of standard money demand functions could be explained by omitted variables like e.g. technological progress that are important for money demand but constant across member countries. -- Money demand ; cross-country analysis ; panel error correction model ; euro area

Although stable money demand functions are crucial for the monetary model of the exchange rate, empirical research on exchange rates and money demand is more or less disconnected. This paper tries to fill the gap for the Euro/Dollar exchange rate. We investigate whether monetary disequilibria provided by the empirical literature on U.S. and European money demand functions contain useful information about exchange rate movements. Our results suggest that the empirical performance of the monetary exchange rate model improves when insights from the money demand literature are explicitly taken into account

Die Modellierung der Geldpolitik steht in traditionellen Modellen zum Geldangebot teilweise in bemerkenswertem Widerspruch zur geldpolitischen Realität in Europa. In diesem Buch werden Modelle zum Geldangebot der Banken vorgestellt, in denen die neue europäische Geldpolitik besser zur Geltung kommt. In Folge der flexiblen Geldmarktsteuerung der Europäische Zentralbank spielen Erwartungen und Unsicherheit über den zukünftigen Kurs der Geldpolitik eine besondere Rolle für das Geldangebot. Die empirischen Ergebnisse bestätigen die Modellimplikationen und zeigen am Beispiel der Bundesbank, wie die Europäische Zentralbank in der geldpolitischen Praxis die Erwartungen der Banken beeinflußt und somit auch auf diese Weise das Geldangebot bestimmt.