This book delves into the methods and techniques used for predicting financial market trends. It explores various analytical tools, including statistical models and economic indicators, to help readers understand market dynamics. The author emphasizes the importance of data analysis and the role of behavioral finance in forecasting. With practical examples and case studies, the book aims to equip readers with the skills needed to make informed investment decisions and navigate the complexities of financial markets effectively.
The Life Cycle Hypothesis provides evidence of an ordered process behind the
apparent randomness of financial asset price movements, economic fluctuations,
and social trends. It shows how genuine information will have a dramatic
effect on any system into which it is inserted, and will generate reactions
that are essentially pre-programmed.
In 'The Law of Vibration' Tony Plummer presents a new theory which he argues is revealing of a fundamental truth about the deep-structure of the universe. The Law is embodied in a very specific pattern of oscillation that accompanies change and evolution. It can be found in fluctuations in stock markets and in economic activity. The research here suggests that the pattern was known about in antiquity because it was buried in a short passage in St Matthew's Gospel in the Bible. It also suggests that it was known about in the early part of the 20th century because it was concealed in the structure of books written by the renowned stock market trader, William D. Gann, and by the mindfulness exponent, George Gurdjieff. Both men chose to preserve their knowledge of the pattern in a hidden form for some unknown future purpose. Now, after 20 years of investigation, Tony Plummer tells the story of how the pattern was originally hidden. Drawing on painstaking research on gematria, the enneagram and financial market analysis, Plummer reveals the existence of a behavioural pattern that may have profound implications for the way that we view the world. Plummer's work is elegantly structured and illustrated throughout. It is an exciting and thought-provoking study for Gann enthusiasts, and also for investors, economists and scientists who have an interest in the laws that underpin systemic coherence and produce collective order.
Zjištění, že lidé nejednají vždy racionálně a nerozhodují se vždy nezávisle jeden na druhém, znamenalo významný posun ve vnímání finančních trhů. Psychologie davu má velký vliv. Ekonom, který dnes dělá svá rozhodnutí na základě „racionálních očekávání“, nejen vidí lidské bytosti zkresleně, ale hlavně je tato jeho představa mylná. V dobrém i ve zlém jsou lidské bytosti doslova naprogramovány k tomu, aby koexistovaly, spolupracovaly a přizpůsobovaly se navzájem. Tento fakt je důležitý pro pochopení finančního a ekonomického chování. Jakmile se lidé začnou shlukovat do skupin, chování v rámci skupiny přestává být nahodilé. A proto nemá chování cen na finančních trzích nahodilý rozměr, bez ohledu na to, co říkají někteří statistici. Jinými slovy, dav se neliší od jiných částí přírody a jako takový je naprosto předvídatelný. Kniha Prognóza finančních trhů vám v tomto pomůže rozšířit obzory.
