Prominent political analyst and historian, Allan J. Lichtman, presents thirteen historical factors, or 'keys,' that have successfully predicted the outcome of presidential elections from 1860 to 2004.
Allan J. Lichtman Livres
Allan J. Lichtman est un historien éminent et professeur d'histoire à l'American University de Washington, D.C. Il est l'auteur de nombreux livres acclamés sur l'histoire politique des États-Unis, explorant l'ascension du mouvement conservateur américain et son impact national. Son modèle innovant de prédiction des résultats des élections présidentielles américaines, d'une précision constante depuis 1984, en a fait une autorité reconnue dans les processus électoraux. Les perspectives profondes et l'approche analytique de Lichtman en font un commentateur très recherché par les médias.





The Embattled Vote in America
- 336pages
- 12 heures de lecture
Americans have died for the right to vote, yet our democratic system guarantees no one, not even citizens, the opportunity to elect a government. Allan Lichtman calls attention to the founders' greatest error--leaving the franchise to the discretion of individual states--and explains why it has triggered an unending struggle over voting rights.
Thirteen Cracks examines the most vulnerable areas in American democracy in the wake of Donald Trump's presidency. Best-selling author Allen J. Lichtman explains in historical context how President Trump uniquely and outrageously exploited these weak spots and proposes a fix for each challenge.
Predicting the Next President
- 227pages
- 8 heures de lecture
In Predicting the Next President political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or keys (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections.
Lichtman has written what may be the most important book of the year. The Hill