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Jakub Bijak

    Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View
    Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography
    • Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography

      Agency, Complexity and Uncertainty in Migration Studies

      • 292pages
      • 11 heures de lecture

      Focusing on a novel methodology for migration studies, this open access book introduces a groundbreaking approach to developing agent-based models that simulate international migration. By utilizing intelligent cognitive agents and their networks, it integrates behavioral and social theories with formal modeling, all framed within Bayesian statistical reasoning. The book emphasizes uncertainty quantification and incorporates insights from laboratory experiments on decision-making, ultimately addressing significant knowledge gaps in migration and social sciences through iterative model building.

      Towards Bayesian Model-Based Demography
    • This book explores the challenges of predicting international migration and its impact on population dynamics in Europe, highlighting the need for reliable forecasting methods. It employs a Bayesian statistical approach, making it accessible to readers without prior knowledge, and emphasizes practical applications for decision makers in various fields.

      Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View